The current international situation is complex and changeable, and a variety of factors may become potential instigators of extreme consciousness (such as extreme nationalism, religious extremism, political polarization, etc.). The following are some international events and trends worth paying attention to, combined with their possible effects for analysis： --- ### 1. **The continued intensification of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict** -**Background of the incident**: The October 2023 Hamas raid on Israel and the subsequent military operations in the Gaza Strip resulted in tens of thousands of civilian casualties and caused a split in global public opinion. -**Risk of polarization**： -**Anti-Semitism and Islamophobia**: Western countries' military support for Israel may be interpreted by extremists as a continuation of ”Western hegemony" and inciting hatred against Jews or Muslims. - **Mobilization of radical organizations**: Organizations such as Hamas and Lebanon's Hizbullah have taken the opportunity to expand their influence, while far-right Jewish groups have also strengthened settlement construction in the West Bank, and the radicals on both sides have strengthened their hostility to each other. --- ### 2. **Identity confrontation caused by the Russian-Ukrainian war** -**Background of the incident**: Russia's “special military operation” against Ukraine has lasted for nearly two years, and Western sanctions and Russian counter-sanctions have intensified the campization. -**Risk of polarization**： -**Revival of Slavic nationalism**: The narrative of “anti-Western savior” in Russia has strengthened, while Ukraine has reshaped its national identity through “de-Russification” policies (such as the removal of the Pushkin statue), which may intensify ethnic and cultural antagonisms. -**Global far-right linkage**: Some European far-right political parties (such as the German Choice Party) openly sympathize with Russia, while Ukrainian far-right militia groups (such as the Azov Battalion) have been shaped as “anti-Russian heroes”, and the ideologies of the two sides resonate among the extreme factions. --- ### 3. **Economic crisis and social inequality** -**Typical case**： -**Sri Lanka's debt collapse**(2022): The economic collapse caused people to storm the presidential palace, and the extreme left and populists took the opportunity to rise. -**Argentina Mille was elected**(2023): The far-right policy that advocates “comprehensive dollarization” and welfare cuts reflects a radical choice in economic despair. -**Risk of polarization**: Economic recession→ shrinking middle class→ People turn to extreme political forces (such as neo-Nazism, anarchism, or religious fundamentalism), believing that the existing system cannot solve the problem. --- ### 4. **The resurgence of religious and cultural conflicts** -**Examples of events**： -**Controversy over the French “headscarf bill”**: The policy of prohibiting the wearing of the burqa in public is regarded as “institutional discrimination” by some Muslim groups and may contribute to religious extremism. -**Escalation of Hindu nationalism**: The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) promotes the “Hindutva” agenda, and Muslim minorities (such as the 2023 Hariwa riots) face the threat of violence, which may give rise to homegrown terrorism. -**Risk mechanism**: Identity politics has been instrumental, and religious or cultural symbols (such as the reconstruction of mosques and cattle protection laws) have become the trigger for conflicts. --- ### 5. **Climate change and resource competition** -**Event chain**： -**Pakistan floods in 2022** (flooding 1/3 of the country)→ Extremist organizations use the chaos after the disaster to recruit displaced people. -**Drought in the Sahel Region of Africa**→ Violent conflicts between farmers and herdsmen competing for water sources→ infiltration by branches of Al Qaeda. -**Logic of polarization**: Environmental disasters → failure of government governance→ extremist organizations provide “alternative order” (such as the distribution of materials and the establishment of courts), while instilling extreme ideologies. --- ### 6. **The catalytic role of science and technology and information warfare** -**Cases and technologies**： -**Tigray War in Ethiopia**: Both sides spread false videos of atrocities through TikTok and Telegram to incite ethnic vendettas. -**AI deep counterfeiting technology**: In the 2023 US presidential election, the fake audio of Biden calling on supporters to “give up voting” caused chaos. -**Risk escalation**: Algorithms recommend the creation of “information cocoons” to strengthen extreme narratives in specific groups, such as white supremacists using encrypted chat tools to organize transnational actions. --- ### 7. **Spillover effects of geopolitical confrontation** - **Sino-US competition**: Disputes over sovereignty in the South China Sea and tensions in the Taiwan Strait may be used by nationalist forces, such as China's “wolf diplomacy” and the United States and Australia's “China threat theory” to stimulate each other. -**The rise of the far-right in Europe**: The German Alternative for Germany (AfD) won the 2023 local elections. Its “anti-immigration, anti-EU” platform formed a political alliance with the French National Union (RN) to promote the legalization of xenophobic policies. --- ### 8. **Psychosocial trauma after the epidemic** -**Long-term effects**: COVID-19 has caused more than 20 million deaths worldwide. Some groups blame the epidemic on specific countries (such as the “China Virus” theory) or the elite (the "Bill Gates Conspiracy theory”), breeding anti-science.、