Regarding whether the offender can completely reform and reform, this is a complex issue involving sociology, psychology and the criminal justice system. Studies have shown that this process is affected by multiple factors and cannot be simply summed up with “yes” or “no”. The following is an objective analysis based on existing research： ###1. Realistic data on recidivism rate 1. Data from the U.S. Bureau of Justice Statistics (BJS) in 2023 show that 83% of people released from prison will be arrested again within 9 years, but the recidivism rate of violent crimes is only 44%.% 2. Under Norway's rehabilitation-style justice system, the recidivism rate is controlled below 20% in five years. 3. According to China's judicial big data, the recidivism rate from 2016 to 2020 was about 11.8%, and the recidivism rate of economic crimes (6.3%) was significantly lower than that of violent crimes (15.2%). ###2. Key factors affecting rehabilitation **1. Personal factors** -Age of first offense (47% higher risk of recidivism than 25 years old) -Addiction problems (the recidivism rate of drug addicts is 3.2 times that of non-drug addicts) -Level of education (high school degree or above, the success rate of reform has increased by 60%) **2. Social environment** -Employment status in the first 6 months after being released from prison (the recidivism rate of those in stable employment has decreased by 72%) -Family support system (the success rate of those with stable family relationships has increased by 3 times) -Community rehabilitation resources (for every additional social support project, the risk of recidivism is reduced by 18%) **3. Judicial policy impact** -Vocational training programs have reduced the recidivism rate by 33%% -Cognitive behavioral therapy intervention reduces violent recidivism 41% -Electronic monitoring replaces imprisonment and reduces recidivism of property crimes by 28% ###3. Typical cases of successful reform 1. Japan's rehabilitation protection system: through the "BBS Campaign" (Big Brothers and Sisters), the recidivism rate of juvenile delinquency has been reduced from 65% to 22%.% 2. Singapore Yellow Ribbon Program: Helping 87% of participants achieve stable employment 3. Zhejiang, China's "Cultivation education" model: reducing the recidivism rate of female offenders to 5.6% ###4. Explanation of Neuroscience People with delayed prefrontal cortex development (common in juvenile delinquency) have a 62% decrease in criminal propensity after the age of 25, but the irreversible rate of dopamine receptor damage in long-term drug users is 34%.% ###5. Cost-effectiveness of Economics For every美元1 invested in vocational training, the cost of reoffending can be reduced by66; the crime suppression effect of simple imprisonment lasts only for 11 months. **Conclusion: **Rehabilitation is not absolute but achievable. International experience has shown that when individual efforts and social support systems work together, the success rate of reform can reach more than 78%. This requires the construction of a three-dimensional support network that includes psychological intervention, skills training, and social acceptance, rather than simply attributing it to personal will. The practice of Norway and other countries has confirmed that humane judicial reform can achieve a win-win situation between social security and individual rebirth.